Pollster Today’s Chanakya has released the West Bengal exit poll results, suggesting the saffron has breached Mamata Banerjee’s stronghold, that too with a two-thirds majority.
According to forecasts, the BJP is expected to win about 192 of the 294 seats in the West Bengal Assembly, with the incumbent TMC barely getting into triple digits at 100. Today’s Chanakya exit poll gives the others, namely the Congress and the Left Front combined (although not in any alliance), just two seats.
Here is the full seat projection for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections by Chanakya today:
BJP – 192±11 seats
TMC+ – 100 ± 11 seats
Other – 2±2 seats
West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has already rejected all exit poll predictions for the state Assembly elections, accusing the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party of “fixing” them.
“BJP office exit polls. Figures are fabricated, aimed at demoralizing TMC workers,” Banerjee said in a video message, alleging that raids were conducted in her constituency, Bhabanipur, “throughout the night.”
The Indian Election Commission conducted voting for West Bengal in two stages, the first on April 23, and the second on April 29. The polling body will announce the election results on May 4.
What other polls predict for West Bengal
According to Matrez, TMC+ may fall short of the majority mark by a few seats, winning between 125 and 140 constituencies. He gave the BJP an edge, predicting that it may win 146-161 seats, indicating a close contest between the two major parties.
A similar forecast was made by pollster P-Marq, which said the BJP is expected to lead in 150-175 seats, while the incumbent Trinamool Congress may win 118-138 seats. He also expected that other parties would be able to obtain between two and six seats.
Exit polls Diary has predicted a clear win for the BJP, indicating that the party may win 142-171 seats, while the TMC may fall well short of the majority mark with just 99-127 seats.
However, pollster People’s Pulse has given a different forecast, suggesting that the current TMC government may retain power in the state, though its tally may fall to 177-187 seats from the current 215 seats in the assembly. It expected the BJP to get 95-110 seats.
