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Updated on: April 29, 2026 7:08:27 PM IST
Kerala exit polls live: As the LDF seeks a third consecutive term in office, which will be its first in Kerala, exit polls have seen the BJP intensifying its efforts to expand its presence in the state. Kerala has traditionally seen governments alternating between the LDF and UDF.
- 11 seconds agoAxis My India predicts highest vote share for UDF at 44%
- 9 minutes agoAxis My India expects the United Democratic Front to win 78-90 seats
- 20 minutes agoPinarayi Vijayan remains most favored to become Prime Minister, Axis My India data shows
- 29 minutes agoMatrez expects the number of UDF seats to increase by 70-75 seats
- 33 minutes agoPeople’s Pulse expects the Congress-led United Democratic Front to get between 75 to 85 seats
- 38 minutes agoWhat are exit polls?
- 41 minutes agoWhen will the forecast be published?
- 43 minutes agoWho constitutes the LDF in Kerala?
- 1 hour and 18 minutes agoForecasts will be released soon
Kerala exit polls live: Kerala has traditionally seen governments alternating between LDF and UDF, a four-decade pattern that the latter broke in 2021.
Kerala exit polls live: Kerala voted in its Assembly elections in one phase on April 9, and the poll results are expected on May 4. The results will be announced along with those of Tamil Nadu, Assam, West Bengal and Assam. Exit poll forecasts for the high-stakes contest between the CPI(M)-led LDF and the Congress-led UDF and NDA will be out soon, as voting for the second phase of the West Bengal elections concludes.
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As the LDF seeks to win a third consecutive term in office, which will be its first in Kerala, polls have seen the BJP intensifying its efforts to expand its presence in the state. Kerala has traditionally seen governments alternating between the LDF and UDF, a four-decade pattern that the latter broke in 2021.
The Election Commission of India has set a specific period of time during which voter poll results cannot be published. Carrying or publishing exit polls is prohibited from 7am on 9 April 2026 until 6.30pm on 29 April 2026.
How accurate are the polls in 2021?
The CPI(Maoist)-led United Democratic Front broke the pattern of alternating governments in the previous Assembly elections, with this shift widely measured by pollsters in 2021.
Kerala exit polls in 2021 have predicted around 100 seats for the CPI(M) led by LDF, with different ranges given by each poll. Axis My India predicted 104-120 seats for LDF and 20-36 for UDF, while CVoter predicted LDF 71-77 seats and UDF 62-68. Republic-CNX predicted 72-80 seats for the LDF and 58-64 seats for the UDF, and News24-Chanakya Today predicted 102 seats for the LDF. While the ranges varied, all pollsters gave the LDP victory.
The results were largely in line with expectations in 2021, with the LDF getting 99 seats in the 140-seat assembly and the United Democratic Front 41.
Follow all updates here:
April 29, 2026 at 7:08:26 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: Axis My India predicts highest vote percentage for UDF at 44%
Kerala Exit Polls Live: Axis My India has predicted the highest vote share for the Congress-led United Democratic Front at 44 per cent, followed by the LDF at 39 per cent. Pollsters expected the National Democratic Rally Party to obtain 14 percent of the votes, and 3 percent for the others.
April 29, 2026 at 6:59:43 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: Axis My India predicts United Democratic Front to win 78-90 seats
Kerala exit polls live: Axis My India predicts a comfortable win for the Congress-led UDF in 78-90 seats. The opinion poll expected the Liberal Democracy Party to win 49-62 seats, and between 0-3 seats for the National Democratic Rally Party.
April 29, 2026 at 6:48:06 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: Pinarayi Vijayan still most favored to become chief minister, Axis My India data shows
Kerala Exit Polls Live: Axis My India data shows that the Chief Minister of Kerala remains the most favored for the post. For the next chief minister, Pinarayi Vijayan got 33 per cent, followed by VD Sathisan of the United Democratic Front (UDF) with 21 per cent.
April 29, 2026 at 6:39:27 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: Matriz expects UDF to increase by 70-75 seats
Kerala exit polls live: Following People’s Pulse, Matrez also expects a surge in the number of seats for the Congress-led United Democratic Front, giving it between 70-75 seats.
Meanwhile, it expected the ruling Liberal Democratic Front (LDF) to get 60-65 seats. The National Democratic Rally may obtain between 3 to 5 seats, according to Matrez.
April 29, 2026 at 6:35:28 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: People’s Pulse expects Congress-led United Democratic Front to get between 75-85 seats
Kerala Exit Polls Live: People’s Pulse expects the Congress-led United Democratic Front to get between 75-85 seats. On the other hand, the pollster said that the current Liberal Democratic Party will obtain between 55 and 65 seats. It gave the NDA between 0-3 seats.
April 29, 2026 at 6:30:10 pm
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Kerala Exit Polls Live: What are Exit Polls?
Kerala Exit Polls Live: Exit polls are published soon after voting ends to understand voting patterns and estimate likely outcomes.
Participating people are asked which party they voted for, as well as details such as age, gender and community, to examine trends. Although they are not always completely correct, they can predict voters’ moods and potential shifts before official results are announced.
April 29, 2026 at 6:27:52 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: When will the forecasts be released?
Kerala exit polls live: Forecasts are expected to be released shortly after 6.30 pm. Conducting or publishing exit polls is prohibited from 7:00 AM on April 9, 2026, until 6:30 PM on April 29, 2026.
The Election Commission has set a specific period during which the results of voter polls may not be published.
April 29, 2026 at 6:25:54 pm
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Kerala exit polls live: Who forms the LDF in Kerala?
Kerala exit polls live: The Communist Party of India is led by the Left Democratic Front, the ruling alliance since 2016.
The LDF has won a total of 6 elections out of 10 since the alliance was formed in 1980. The alliance consists of the CPI(M), CPI, and several smaller parties.
April 29, 2026 at 5:50:30 pm
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Kerala Exit Polls Live: Forecasts to be released soon
Kerala Exit Poll Live: Pollsters will soon release their forecasts for the 140-seat Assembly elections in Kerala. The state voted in one phase on April 9.
News from here D Kerala Exit Polls 2026 Live: Pollsters expect Congress-led United Democratic Front to make a comeback and a close contest in Kerala
