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FILE – President Donald Trump, left, shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)
In April, a meme took over the Chinese internet: Don Tzu. A portrait of Donald Trump and Sun Tzu, it depicts the 47th President of the United States as a strategic sage whose wisdom somehow escaped the rules of grammar and causality.
This meme came full of Trumpian aphorisms about “winning,” including gems like “Break the enemy’s siege by breaking his own,” “If you don’t know what you’re doing, neither will your enemy,” and “You can’t lose if you don’t have a goal.”
Sun Tzu had written The Art of War. Don Tzu appears to have written the art of What’s Happening?This meme worked because it captured something real about how Trump uses power. He does not practice strategy in the old sense, with doctrine, discipline, patience and a clearly defined end state.
His genius, if one is generous, is to turn confusion into influence. It makes so much noise that everyone has to interpret it. Victory is declared before the battle, during the battle, after the battle, and sometimes instead of the battle.
In the Trumpian world, advertising is not a description of reality. It’s an attempt to replace it.Which brings us to the man at the table. If Trump is Don Tzu, then Xi Jinping is the Philosopher King. A recent New York Times report on Xi behind closed doors described him as a ruler with no close domestic rival, willing to lecture weaker leaders, and casting himself in the mold of ancient Chinese rulers who combined political authority with civilizational instructions.
Don Tzu is funny because he turns strategy into nonsense. Xi is troubling because he turns other people’s nonsense into evidence of his seriousness.
Trump moves through politics like a man convinced that the room is there because he entered it. Xi moves through politics like a man convinced that the room has been around for 5,000 years, and has been patiently waiting for everyone to learn the correct form of address.
The art of winning Without cohesion
Trump’s philosophy is often confused with absence of philosophy, but absence can become a system if practiced with enough confidence.
Every problem turns into a deal, every deal turns into a performance, and every performance requires a winner, and the winner, ideally, before anyone checks the cards, is Donald Trump.

That’s why Trump’s foreign policy has always been like a casino floor, where there’s also the house, the bouncer, and the guy selling souvenir steaks near the exit. Alliances are unpaid bills. Trade deficits are insults.
Summits are televised masculinity contests in which someone must later appear and tell the cameras that the conversation was historic, beautiful, and very powerful. Form is more important than substance because form is substance.Trump’s incoherence has political utility because it exhausts explanation. Allies, enemies, markets, bureaucrats, generals, and journalists expend enormous energy trying to decipher whether his latest statement is a policy, a provocation, a bargaining chip, a grievance, a stillness of the brain, or some previously undiscovered fifth state of matter.
If you don’t know what you’re doing, your enemy doesn’t either. If there is no specific goal, there will be no failure.
If reality contradicts this statement, reality can be accused of liberal bias.
What are the uses of the system?
Xi seemed to understand Trump early, but not with admiration. Recounting the last meeting between Xi Jinping and Barack Obama in Lima in 2016, Trump had just shocked the world by winning the US presidential election, and Xi seemed puzzled that American voters could choose someone so unconventional.
Obama tried to explain Trump’s rise as a product of American economic frustration, including anger over the loss of manufacturing jobs and the theft of intellectual property.
Xi was reportedly upset. He put down his pen, folded his arms and delivered a line that sounded less like diplomatic analysis than like a verdict etched on the palace wall: If an immature leader throws the world into chaos, the world will know who to blame.This moment is important because it shows Xi Jinping’s vision of the convergence of Trump, America and democracy. Trump was proof that the American system had lost the ability to filter out unseriousness, that democracy could transform discontent into leadership, and that the liberal order had produced a man who treated institutions as props and norms as traps. For a leader who spent years presenting China as a stable, disciplined, and historically continuous country, Trump’s rise was a gift from the gods of comparative politics.
Beijing did not need to invent an argument about Western chaos. America exported live streaming.Xi’s political performance is built on the opposite assumption: that chaos is Western, order is Chinese, and that history has finally found adult oversight. The Chinese Communist Party claims its legitimacy not only from revolution or economic growth, but also from the role it plays as guardian of Chinese history. Xi has intensified this claim.
He speaks as if China is not just a modern nation-state, but rather a civilization that has lived temporarily for two centuries and is now regaining its rightful place in the universe.
During Obama’s 2014 visit to Beijing, his aides expected to discuss the South China Sea. Instead, Obama and Xi had a long conversation about whether individualistic societies and collectivist Confucian societies could be reconciled.
This policy was administered as civilizational studies.
How do they deal with the middle powers?
Dealing with the middle powers reveals the difference between Trump and Xi with extraordinary clarity. Trump treats the middle powers as if they were supporting actors in the drama of American victimhood. Canada, Denmark, NATO allies and trading partners often participate not as diplomatic entities with their own limitations and dignity, but as extras in a White House production of American power.
The Greenland incident remains the clearest example of this.
Trump’s recurring interest in acquiring or controlling autonomous Danish territory has turned the question of the ally’s sovereignty into a ritual of dominance, with the islanders and Denmark having to continue to make clear that they are not distressed assets on the golf course’s balance sheet. Trump’s approach is to push with the attached microphone. He doesn’t just want concessions; He wants the spectacle of forcing other countries to concede.

Xi Jinping’s treatment of middle powers is different in style, although not necessarily kinder in substance. He doesn’t need a carnival. He prefers a controlled room, a tight smile, and a rebuke delivered as protocol. The 2022 exchange with Justin Trudeau remains the clearest example. Xi confronted the Canadian leader at the G20 summit in Indonesia after details of their previous conversation emerged in the media. Xi told Trudeau that was inappropriate, and not the way the conversation was conducted.
Trudeau tried to make clear that Canada believes in open dialogue and agree-to-disagree diplomacy. Shi interrupted him, said that they should prepare the conditions first, and shook hands with him and Mesh Going away.In this short exchange Xi’s authority was grammar. He was not simply objecting to the leak. He objected to breaking the hierarchy. Talk in the right room. State objections in the right tone. Do not embarrass the king in public.
Mark Carney’s account of his meeting with Xi Jinping points in the same direction. According to Carney, Shi spent the first part of their interaction explaining how he wanted the personal relationship to go.
The message, as Carney interpreted it, was simple: no surprises, be direct, raise issues privately, no public lessons.So the distinction is sharp. Trump insults the middle powers by applying pressure publicly; Xi disciplines them by making protocol sacrosanct.
Trump is using it to prove that America can still pay. Xi is using it to prove that China should not be talked to as if it were just another country.
Grievance and fate
Their criticisms of democracy are similarly revealing. Trump’s criticisms are emotional. Democracy is legitimate when it loves him, suspicious when it rejects him, and sacred again when it returns him to power. Criticism of something is historical. Joe Biden recounted that Xi told him that democracies could not survive in the 21st century because consensus was too difficult and authoritarian regimes could move faster.
For Trump, democracy is a test of loyalty.
For Xi, it is like a museum exhibit: noble perhaps, and certainly interesting, but too slow for the next century.Their foreign policies flow naturally from these moods. Trump wants deals. Something wants architecture. Trump wants clear concessions: purchases, tariff relief, the promise of factories, and a handshake he can sell to voters. Xi wants slower, deeper transformations: accepting China’s red lines, respecting its status, and recognizing that Taiwan is not just a flashpoint but a sacred matter of national completion.
Trump’s time horizon is the news cycle, market reaction and crowd applause. Xi’s time horizon is the Party Congress, the Five-Year Plan, and the historical arc. Trump wants the trophy. He wants the map.
New global chaos
The easy reading is that Trump and Xi are contradictions: Trump is chaos, and Xi is order; Trump improvises, and Xi plans; Trump shouts, Xi lectures; Trump is the casino, Xi is the court. Deeper reading is more troubling.
They are competing answers to the same crisis. They both grew up in an era when the old liberal order no longer imposed automatic belief. They both talk about grievance. Both lack of trust is a limitation. They both personalize power.
They both treat rules as tools created by others for their own benefit.The difference lies in the method. Trump wants to start every morning in order with his mood. Xi wants to start the century-old system with China.
Trump distorts reality by overpowering it. Something distorts reality by historicizing it. Trump turns politics into spectacle, turning attention into power. Xi turns politics into destiny, so power becomes inevitable.Don Tzu and the Philosopher King Xi are what happens when the ancient world loses confidence in its own rules. One man says there are no rules, only winning. The other says there are rules, but China wrote them before you were born. And between them sits the rest of the world, waiting to discover whether the future will be shaped by the man who treats geopolitics like a casino, or the man who treats it like a broad-based dynasty.
