Gujarat Titans climbed to second place with a dominant 77-run win over Rajasthan Royals, which significantly boosted their playoff chances to 72.52%. Shubman Gill and Sai Sudharsen excelled with the bat, while Rashid Khan excelled with the ball. Despite the loss, Rajasthan Royals retain a higher probability of making the playoffs overall given their easier remaining schedule.
Gujarat Titans strengthened their IPL 2026 qualifying position with a 77-run thumping of Rajasthan Royals in Jaipur, with predictions showing GT’s likelihood of qualifying rising following the huge increase in net run rate resulting from the win.The latest win now puts the Gujarat Titans with a 72.52% chance of making the playoffs and a 38.71% chance of finishing in the top two after their biggest ever win in the Indian Premier League by runs. Shubman Gill 84, Sai Sudharsan 55 and Rashid Khan’s impressive 4/33 GT claimed a dominant win that lifted them to second in the standings and lifted the net run rate from -0.147 to +0.228.Meanwhile, Rajasthan Royals remain slightly ahead of Gujarat overall despite the defeat, with a probability of making the play-off at 80.31% and a probability of finishing in the top two at 44.07%.
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This discrepancy is largely driven by the remaining schedule. While GT still face Sunrise Hyderabad, Kolkata Knight Riders and Chennai Super Kings in their final three league matches, Rajasthan’s remaining matches come against Delhi Capitals, Lucknow Super Giants and Mumbai Indians – all teams currently outside the top seven and carrying much weaker playoff expectations.
IPL 2026 Qualifiers Odds
| a team | Playoff potential | The two highest probability | Average finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sexual and reproductive health | 89.59% | 60.22% | 2.64 |
| PBKS | 84.81% | 53.25% | 2.65 |
| R.R | 80.31% | 44.07% | 3.54 |
| RCB | 77.55% | 41.98% | 3.08 |
| GT | 72.52% | 38.71% | 4.25 |
| CSK | 38.81% | 12.62% | 5.45 |
| KKR | 5.23% | 0.06% | 7.11 |
| Mi | 1.50% | 0.01% | 8.46 |
| LSG | 1.56% | 0.00% | 8.72 |
| DC | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.08 |
The result also produced smaller shifts across the broader playoff race.
Punjab Kings improved marginally to 84.81%, while Sunrisers Hyderabad remained the favorites in the playoffs with 89.59%.Royal Challengers Bengaluru have remained steady at 77.55%, with their massive +1.234 net run rate continuing to provide one of the strongest safety cushions in the league despite the recent inconsistency.Chennai Super Kings suffered a slight drop in expectations after GT’s win because one of their direct rivals actually moved forward in the standings, leaving CSK at 38.81%.Kolkata Knight Riders remain outsiders at just 5.23%, while Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants continue to hover around the 1.5% mark, realistically requiring near-perfect finishes coupled with multiple collapses elsewhere.Meanwhile, Delhi Capitals have failed to qualify for any of the latest projected 100,000 runs, despite still being mathematically alive on paper.
IPL 2026 remaining matches: Predicted winners
| match | Combinations | Expected favourites |
|---|---|---|
| Match 53 | CSK vs LSG | CSK |
| Match 54 | RCB vs MI | RCB |
| Match 55 | PBKS v. DC | PBKS |
| Match 56 | GT vs SRH | GT (very close) |
| Match 57 | RCB vs KKR | RCB |
| Match 58 | PBKS vs MI | PBKS |
| Match 59 | LSG vs CSK | CSK (very close) |
| Match 60 | KKR vs GT | GT |
| Match 61 | PBKS vs RCB | PBKS (very close) |
| Match 62 | DC vs RR | R.R |
| Match 63 | CSK vs SRH | Sexual and reproductive health |
| Match 64 | RR vs LSG | R.R |
| Match 65 | KKR vs MI | KKR |
| Match 66 | GT vs CSK | GT |
| Match 67 | SRH vs RCB | Sexual and reproductive health |
| Match 68 | LSG vs PBKS | PBKS |
| Match 69 | MI vs RR | R.R |
The forecast was generated using a simulation model that replayed the remaining phase of the 2026 IPL 100,000 times using current scores, net run rate, recent form, remaining fixtures and weighted match winning odds.