As of 1 PM ET on Friday, March 13, 2026, $54.8 million has been bet on the Oscars on prediction market site Cashi. At around the same hour, at competitor Polymarket, $61.4 million was already on the line(s). A Calcci representative says bets will grow “significantly” over the weekend Hollywood Reporter.
Among the most notable bets on Calci is, “Who will attend the Oscars?” He has a lot of work. There, you can choose locks, such as Hot competition star Hudson Williams (he’s already been reported to be in attendance for some reason), Battle after battle Star Leonardo DiCaprio, or Kylie Jenner, is Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme) a partner.
Zendaya is another potential host, perhaps as a presenter or to support partner Tom Holland in a Marvel Cinematic Universe reunion — or both. Sean Penn (Battle after battle), Olivia Jade (Jacob Elordi’s partner), Hailee Steinfeld (not nominated, but she is the star of the film that received major nominations Sinners), Ryan Gosling, Margot Robbie, Connor Story (Hot competition), Kevin Hart, and Taylor Swift are the least likely to fill the seats, in exactly this descending order.
A new market has opened in Calci covering what Oscars host Conan O’Brien will remember from the stage. Hollywood and Chalamet are blockbuster hits that are likely to go unheard of like Netflix, Warner Bros., and Artificial Intelligence. Hulu, The Podcast, Jeffrey Epstein, President Trump, ICE, and Will Smith are also on the board, with odds respectively lower. You’ll remember why Smith might be somewhat of a top priority every time the Oscars come back.
Ben who is allergic to awards might actually want to attend this show. The best supporting actor markets on both sites bring good news for Penn at the expense of Stellan Skarsgård (Emotional value). There was a time when Skarsgård seemed like a good bet, but now is not the time (not betting advice, but if you want to use… THRDisability…).
Best Supporting Actress is another hot market right now. Amy Madigan L Weapons It’s a favorite, but not in a runaway way. Teyana Taylor (Battle after battle) within walking distance — she and Madigan actually flipped positions on March 1, when Madigan won the Actor’s Awards (formerly known as the SAG Awards). Wunmi Mosako L Sinners She’s a bit of a dark horse, otherwise, here – but she’s in a much better position than she was just three weeks ago, before winning the Baftas.
Best Actor is where most of the new bets land (followed by Best Picture, which is heavily favored). Battle after battle). You have Michael B. jordan (Sinners) opposite Chalamet — a major turnaround thanks in large part to the actor’s accolades once again. Poor Leo is a very long shot, and his odds keep going down.
How seriously should we take these market forecasts? Well, its sheer size should help instill some confidence. There is strength in numbers, especially when dealing with numbers. When dealing with money, a large portion of bettors do their research, taking their cues from experts such as THRScott Feinberg.
For the most part, users of both Polymarket and Kalshi did an excellent job of predicting this year’s Oscars Candidates. They sniffed out support for actor nominee Delroy Lindo Sinners Performance (for Paul Mescal in Hamnet). In the Best Actress category, oddsmakers incorrectly picked Chase Infinity (Battle after battle(on nominee Kate Hudson)Song Song Blue).
In supporting actress, Polymarket went with Ariana Grande (Evil: for good) Kalshi users verified the name Odessa Azion (Marty Supreme) – Someone needs to show them Elle Fanning Emotional value performance. Otherwise, bettors on both sites were able to spot the big brackets – we’ll find out on Sunday night whether they also bet when it mattered.
